Thomas and Liu in finals of U.S. Junior

Golf Betting Lines

07/23/2010 - Ada, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Justin Thomas and Jim Liu both won twice on Friday to advance to Saturday's 36-hole final of the U.S. Junior Amateur Championship.

Thomas, 17, earned a 2 & 1 victory over Scott Wolfes in Friday's quarterfinals, then needed one extra hole to get by Denny McCarthy in the afternoon's semifinals.

Liu pulled out a 1-up win over Gavin Hill Friday morning and toppled Robby Shelton, 3 & 2 in the semifinals.

Thomas fell 1-down to Wolfes with a loss at the fourth hole, but rebounded with wins at six and seven. Thomas' lead stayed at 1-up until he won the par- five 13th with an eagle.

Wolfes hung in and won the 15th with a birdie to go 1-down. He made bogey at the par-five 17th at Egypt Valley Country and that was enough to give Thomas a 2 & 1 victory.

Later Friday, Thomas never led over McCarthy until the first extra hole. He was 1-down after a bogey at nine and the score stayed at 1-down until Thomas won 15 with a par.

The match was all-square briefly. McCarthy took the par-three 16th with a par, but a Thomas par at 17 drew him even. The pair halved the 18th with birdie and were back to the first to find out who made the final.

Thomas only needed a par at No. 1 for the win and berth in Saturday's final.

Liu, 14, was ahead early in his quarterfinal, but losses at seven and 10 left his match against Hall all-square. Hall moved 1-up thanks to a par at the 14th, but Liu clawed back to even with a birdie at 16.

Liu made a birdie at the 17th to go 1-up and hung on with a par at the last to move on to the semifinals.

Against Shelton, Liu was 1-down after seven holes, but got to all-square after a birdie at the par-three eighth. Shelton captured the 10th and 11th holes to move 2-up on the back nine.

Liu never panicked and won 12 with a par and 13 with a birdie. Those two victories gave Liu some momentum. He won the next three holes with two birdies and a par to close out the match with five straight winning holes.

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Betting the NFL preseason

Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."

When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules. 

The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.

The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.

“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”

The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.

“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”

The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.

“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”

Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.

“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."

So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?

“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.

Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.

Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.

Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.

“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.

Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.

The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.

“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.

Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.

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