Baltimore Ravens 2010 Season Preview

Football Betting Lines

08/03/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The first two years of the John Harbaugh/Joe Flacco era have shown that the Baltimore Ravens have found the right combination at head coach and quarterback. The 2010 season will reveal whether or not the team has assembled the necessary supporting cast to soar to even greater heights.

Back-to-back playoff appearances and three postseason wins over the past two seasons had already generated lofty expectations for this year's Ravens, who'll return all but one starter from a group that delivered nine regular- season victories and reached the Divisional Round of the 2009 AFC Playoffs. But when general manager Ozzie Newsome swung a trade to land standout wide receiver Anquan Boldin in March, the stakes were raised even higher.

Boldin should give Baltimore what it's been lacking for seemingly forever, a quality complement to the remarkably steady Derrick Mason at the wideout spot. With the addition of the physical three-time Pro Bowl honoree and veteran speedster Donte' Stallworth, along with the emergence of third-year pro Ray Rice into an elite all-around running back and Flacco's continued progress as a passer, the Ravens now field what could be one of the more balanced and dangerous offenses the league has to offer.

Baltimore's calling card has always come on the defensive end, however, and the 2009 squad continued the Ravens' longstanding tradition of excellence by ranking among the NFL's best in virtually every major category. The unit is getting a bit long in the tooth at several positions, but Newsome addressed those concerns by overseeing another potentially fruitful draft that garnered University of Texas outside linebacker Sergio Kindle and mammoth Alabama nose tackle Terrence Cody with the team's top two picks.

Kindle, considered one of the top available pass rushers among this year's college crop, suffered a fractured skull in an accident at a friend's home just prior to training camp, however, putting the rookie in jeopardy of missing the upcoming season. His injury was one of several bad breaks the Ravens endured over the summer, as perennial All-Pro safety Ed Reed may be sidelined until mid-October after undergoing hip surgery in the spring and Domonique Foxworth, Baltimore's best cover cornerback, is out for the year after tearing his ACL during the early stages of camp.

Foxworth's injury adds further anxiety to an already worrisome position, with fellow corners Lardarius Webb and Fabian Washington both coming off ACL tears that cut short their 2009 campaigns.

Those health issues in the secondary aside, Baltimore still finds itself on the short list of preseason favorites to represent the AFC in this year's Super Bowl. For those dreams to be realized, however, the Ravens will likely need a bounce-back season out of pass-rusher extraordinaire Terrell Suggs and for Flacco to take another big step forward as the triggerman of an offense that has the makings of being something special.

Below we take a capsule look at the 2010 edition of the Baltimore Ravens, with a personnel evaluation and prognosis included therein:

2009 RECORD: 9-7 (t2nd, AFC North)

LAST PLAYOFF APPEARANCE: 2009, lost to Indianapolis, 20-3, in AFC Divisional Playoff

COACH (RECORD): John Harbaugh (20-12 in two seasons with Ravens, 20-12 overall)

OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR: Cam Cameron

DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR: Greg Mattison

OFFENSIVE STAR: Ray Rice, RB (1339 rushing yards, 78 receptions, 8 TD)

DEFENSIVE STAR: Ray Lewis, LB (134 tackles, 3 sacks)

OFFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 5th rushing, 18th passing, 9th scoring

DEFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 5th rushing, t8th passing, 3rd scoring

KEY ADDITIONS: QB Marc Bulger (from Rams), WR Anquan Boldin (from Cardinals), WR Donte' Stallworth (from Browns), TE Ed Dickson (3rd Round, Oregon), TE Dennis Pitta (4th Round, BYU), DL Cory Redding (from Seahawks), DT Terrence Cody (2nd Round, Alabama), DE/OLB Sergio Kindle (2nd Round, Texas), CB Walt Harris (from 49ers), CB Doug Dutch (from Redskins), S Ken Hamlin (from Cowboys), K Shayne Graham (from Bengals)

KEY DEPARTURES: QB John Beck (to Redskins), WR David Tyree (retired), WR Kelley Washington (to Eagles), TE L.J. Smith (not tendered), TE Quinn Sypniewski (released), T Adam Terry (to Colts), DT Justin Bannan (to Broncos), DL Dwan Edwards (to Bills), CB Corey Ivy (not tendered), CB Samari Rolle (retired), CB Frank Walker (not tendered)

QB: After displaying impressive poise in leading Baltimore to the AFC Championship Game as a rookie in 2008, Flacco improved both his passing and decision-making skills during an even better second season. The rocket-armed 25-year-old's 3,613 yards and 21 touchdowns were the most by a Ravens quarterback since Vinny Testaverde in 1996, and could surpass those numbers with the offense's new weapons. The Ravens also brought in some experienced insurance at the position with the offseason signing of ex-Ram Marc Bulger (1469 passing yards, 5 TD, 6 INT), a player with 95 starts and two Pro Bowls to his credit. His addition pushes last year's backup, former Heisman Trophy winner Troy Smith, down to the No. 3 spot in the pecking order.

RB: With the dynamic Rice flanked by three-time 1,000-yard rusher Willis McGahee (544 rushing yards, 15 receptions, 14 total TD) and versatile fullback Le'Ron McClain (180 rushing yards, 2 TD, 21 receptions), the Ravens sport a backfield that can rival any other team's in terms of overall depth. There's little question as to who's the leader of the pack, however. Rice (1339 rushing yards, 78 receptions, 8 total TD) flourished in his first opportunity as an every-down player, topping all NFL backs in catches and receiving yards (702) and trailing only Tennessee's Chris Johnson in yards from scrimmage. McGahee was very effective in a short-yardage role, scoring a team-best 12 touchdowns last year, while the 260-pound McClain is a quality lead blocker who can also handle the ball if called upon, as evidenced by the 902 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns he produced in 2008.

WR/TE: What had been a longtime weakness now figures to be a strength with Boldin (84 receptions, 1024 yards, 4 TD) lining up opposite the reliable Mason (73 receptions, 1028 yards, 7 TD), and the receiving corps would become even more formidable if Stallworth can shake off the rust after missing all of last season because of a league suspension and provide a needed field-stretching presence. Though prone to injuries at times, Boldin's toughness and ability to churn out yards after the catch make the former Cardinal a major upgrade over 2009 starter Mark Clayton (34 receptions, 2 TD), who now finds himself on the roster bubble alongside perpetual underachiever Demetrius Williams (8 receptions, 1 TD). Mason's third straight 1,000-yard season at age 35 showed the 14th-year vet can still be a factor, and tight end Todd Heap (53 receptions, 6 TD) put forth a nice rebound in 2009 after experiencing a drop in production over the two previous years. The two-time Pro Bowl performer is now 30 and nearing the end of an expensive contract, so the Ravens drafted two possible successors this spring in Oregon's Ed Dickson (3rd Round) and BYU's Dennis Pitta (4th Round). Ex-Utah wideout David Reed was selected in the fifth round and will be in mix for a roster spot, as will holdover Marcus Smith, a special-teams standout who missed all of last year with a knee injury.

OL: The Ravens have ranked in the top five in rushing offense in each of Harbaugh's two seasons as head coach, due in no small part to the work of a high-caliber front line that's both skilled and plays with a collective mean streak. All five regulars return to the fold, although the team plans to have tackles Michael Oher and Jared Gaither switch positions in an effort to maximize the strengths of both players. Oher, best known as the subject of the book and hit movie "The Blind Side", displayed elite athleticism during a sensational rookie year at right tackle, and the 2009 first-round pick's tremendous talent should serve him well as Flacco's main protector. The 6- foot-9, 340-pound Gaither is a massive mauler who'll combine with scrappy guard Marshal Yanda to form a bruising right side. Left guard Ben Grubbs has been a stalwart since entering the league as a first-rounder in 2007, while six-time Pro Bowl center Matt Birk remains one of the game's premier pivots as he begins his 13th season. Chris Chester, a 13-game starter a year ago, gives Baltimore a capable fill-in along the interior, while the club has been pleased with the development of third-year man Oniel Cousins as a swing tackle.

DL: Not only do the Ravens excel at running the football, they're among the best at preventing the opposition at doing so as well. A stout three-man front anchored by tackles Haloti Ngata (35 tackles, 1.5 sacks) and Kelly Gregg (63 tackles, 3 sacks) was a big reason why Baltimore allowed a league-low 3.4 yards per rush attempt last season, and that number could go even lower this year now that the 350-pound Cody, an immovable force in the middle of Alabama's championship defense this past fall, is around to keep the 33-year- old Gregg fresh at the nose. The team will have to replace starting end Dwan Edwards, a free-agent departure to Buffalo, but believes it has found a serviceable replacement in eighth-year pro Cory Redding (20 tackles, 2 sacks with Seattle). The former Seahawk will rotate with 35-year-old Trevor Pryce (31 tackles), who led the Ravens with 6 1/2 sacks last year and is best suited to a situational role. Baltimore also hopes to receive a greater impact out of 2009 second-round pick Paul Kruger (11 tackles, 1 INT) as a pass-rushing down lineman.

LB: Discussion of the Baltimore linebackers always begins with the incomparable Ray Lewis (134 tackles, 3 sacks), the unquestioned heart and soul of the team's vaunted defense who continues to play at a world-class level despite advancing age. The two-time Defensive Player of the Year was named to his 11th Pro Bowl and eighth All-Pro First Team in 2009 after once again topping the Ravens in tackles and lending invaluable leadership. Suggs (59 tackles) has been to three Pro Bowls in a seven-year span, but the accomplished outside rusher managed a career-low 4 1/2 sacks last season after reporting to camp out of shape. He's reportedly shown up leaner and quicker this summer and appears to be a good bet to reclaim his previous disruptive form. The unheralded Jarret Johnson (50 tackles, 6 sacks), another key contributor to Baltimore's top-notch run defense, returns opposite Suggs on the outside, with sophomore Dannell Ellerbe (41 tackles, 1 sack) and third- year men Tavares Gooden (47 tackles) and Jameel McClain (30 tackles) all competing to be Lewis' main counterpart inside.

DB: Baltimore's biggest questions clearly lie in the secondary, and especially at the cornerback spot with Foxworth (53 tackles, 4 INT, 16 PD) done for the year and the promising Webb (35 tackles, 1 sack) uncertain to be ready for the start of the season. Washington (37 tackles) has been progressing well from his knee surgery and should line up as one of the Week 1 starters, with competent nickel back Chris Carr (44 tackles, 2 INT, 1.5 sacks) slated to see plenty of action as well at the thin position. Safety doesn't seem to be as much of an issue even though the Ravens will miss the presence of Reed (50 tackles, 3 INT), one of the league's all-time great defensive playmakers, for at least the early stages of the season. Tom Zbikowski (29 tackles, 2 INT) was more than adequate when filling in for an ailing Reed during a four-game stretch late last year, and the team signed former Cowboys starter Ken Hamlin (52 tackles) in June to provide further protection. Dawan Landry (89 tackles, 4 INT) is locked in as a starter on the strong side after turning in a productive season and making a successful return from a serious neck injury sustained in 2008.

SPECIAL TEAMS: The Ravens made one notable change in this area, bringing in veteran kicker Shayne Graham (23-28 FG with Cincinnati) as a free agent. The 32-year-old, whose 85.2 percent field goal percentage is fifth-best in NFL history, is favored to beat out Billy Cundiff after the incumbent went a shaky 12-of-17 on three-point attempts upon being signed midway through last season. Jalen Parmele has the inside track to serve as the primary kickoff returner and third tailback after averaging an impressive 31.4 yards during a late-year audition, with Carr (8.2 avg.) back to handle those duties on punts. Sam Koch (43.5 avg.) was re-signed after putting forth another stable season as the punter, and the coverage units should remain a strength due to Harbaugh, a former special teams coordinator with the Eagles, placing a heavy emphasis on that aspect.

PROGNOSIS: The Ravens entered camp considered by many insiders to be the team to beat among the AFC North crop, but that optimism may be tempered somewhat with the injuries they've incurred on defense. That still shouldn't stop Baltimore from doing what it does best -- pounding the ball on offense and stopping the run -- and that alone should translate into its share of wins. Factor in the added playmakers at receiver, Flacco's continued evolution under center and strong leadership within the locker room, and the Ravens appear fully capable of eclipsing last year's nine-win regular-season total and making a deep playoff run.

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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

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Mayweather picked to beat De La Hoya
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA -- Golden Boy Oscar De La Hoya and his rival Floyd Mayweather Jr. arrived at the MGM Grand here Wednesday amid the pomp and pandemonium befitting two of the biggest stars in the sport who are about to duke it out for the WBC super welterweight crown this Saturday (Sunday in Manila).

As of Wednesday, MySportsbook.com closed its book with Mayweather a favorite to defeat De La Hoya at -170 (a $100 bet wins $70), while De La Hoya is a +140 underdog (a $100 bet wins $140).

Mayweather arrived at about 11:30 a.m. on a big truck with his face and a big "World's Best Pound-for-Pound" sign scribbled across the vehicle. He was accompanied by his entourage made up of rappers and his training team.

A crowd of close to 3,000 eager fans packed the MGM Grand lobby, with their cameras in tow, all trying to vie for position to get a good angle at Mayweather, who is acknowledged as the world's best fighter pound-for-pound.

Eric Gomez, Golden Boy Promotions vice-president, described the fan turnout as "amazing" and swore he had never seen anything quite like this event.

"The crowd was fantastic. Everybody was just too eager to see the two fighters," said ALA manager Michael Aldeguer, who was among those who waited at the lobby together with his ward Rey "Boom Boom" Bautista and AJ Banal.

De La Hoya made his own grand entrance at the hotel lobby at around 12:30 p.m. accompanied by GBP chief executive officer Richard Schaefer and trainer Freddie Roach.

The same group of fans who trooped to see Mayweather also lingered around to get a close look at De La Hoya, who has been secretly working out at a Las Vegas gym for days after arriving from his main training camp in Puerto Rico.

The golden boy then took part in a closed-door afternoon workout with Bautista and Banal. The two, along with Aldeguer and wife Christine, as well as an HBO crew were the only ones allowed inside the gym.

De La Hoya and Mayweather take part in today's final press conference before the official weigh-in this Friday.

Ring Magazine, the acknowledged bible of boxing, reported in its June 2007 issue that 12 out of 20 boxing experts it interviewed have favored Mayweather to defeat De la Hoya, with only 8 favoring the latter.

But Filipino ring icon Manny Pacquiao said in a recent interview with The Freeman's Emmanuel Villaruel that De La Hoya will win by unanimous decision over Mayweather.

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